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Carolinas' jobless rates hit new highs

N.C. rises to 11.1%; S.C. 12.6%. Expert says trend is normal as recession ends.

By Sue Stock and David Ranii
Staff Writers

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  • Navigating the world of unemployment pay can be confusing. Here's how it works.

    Initial benefits last 26 weeks. After that, there is a series of tiers of extended benefits, approved by Congress. The first tier is an additional 20 weeks. The second adds 14 weeks. The third adds 13 more weeks. The fourth, six weeks. And the fifth tier is a final 20 weeks. In all, that adds up to 99 weeks. Not everyone qualifies for all 99 weeks.

    According to current law, people drawing benefits under any of the five tiers will be cut off after April 5. People would receive payments for all of the weeks in the tier that they are on as of April 5, but they won't collect benefits under the next tier up unless Congress passes legislation to keep the tiers through the end of the year. On Wednesday, the Senate passed a measure including the year-end extension as well as other tax breaks for businesses and states struggling with Medicaid expenses. The legislation moves to the House for approval.

  • In February, the N.C. Employment Security Commission did an annual review of its data for 2009 as required by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    The process, called benchmarking, compares the previous data, which is based on models, with actual employment data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program, other Census data and birth and death estimates.

    For 2009, nine of the 12 months were revised. As it turns out, the year began a little better than originally estimated, with an unemployment rate of 9.2 percent instead of the previously reported 9.7 percent. At the end of the year, December's data was revised to be lower than originally estimated, 10.9 percent instead of 11.2.

    For the entire year, however, North Carolina's unemployment rate remained above the national average, in most months by 1 percentage point or more.

    The ESC releases its next state unemployment rate for February on March 26. County unemployment data will be released March 19.


Unemployment in the Carolinas hit record highs in January - unwelcome news for the region's job seekers who are struggling to find work.

In North Carolina, unemployment reached 11.1 percent. December's rate was originally reported as 11.2 percent but was revised to 10.9 percent during the annual review of state labor statistics last month.

South Carolina's unemployment was 12.6 percent in January, up from a revised 12.4 percent in December, the S.C. Employment Security Commission reported. The national unemployment rate was 9.7 percent.

Unemployment rose in 30 states in January, the Labor Department said Wednesday, evidence that jobs remain scarce in most regions of the country.

The data is somewhat better than December, when 43 states reported higher unemployment rates, but worse than November, when rates fell in most states.

There were some signs of job creation. Thirty-one states added jobs in January, up from only 11 in the previous month. But the job gains weren't enough, in many cases, to lower the unemployment rate.

Michigan's unemployment rate is still the nation's highest, at 14.3 percent, followed by Nevada, with 13 percent and Rhode Island at 12.7 percent. South Carolina and California round out the top five.

It's normal for the unemployment rate to rise when a recession shows signs of ending, said N.C. State economist Mike Walden.

That's because of the way unemployed workers are tracked.

Workers are only counted as unemployed if they are applying for jobs regularly. When the economy shows signs of life, often people who have quit their job searches will resume them and actually increase the number of people counted in the labor pool.

"The number of people unemployed rose by 8,000 or so," he said. "They were unemployed in December, too. They just didn't show up because they weren't actively looking for work."

Some industries such as construction still are slow to recover, Walden said, but one encouraging sign was the 5,700 jobs added increase in professional and business services.

"Those are the high-paying, white-collar jobs that we lost a ton of during this recession," he said.

It will probably be at least a few more months before the unemployment rate peaks, predicted Mark Vitner, senior economist for Wells Fargo in Charlotte.

"More companies seem to be hiring today than they were in the past, but they're not hiring aggressively," he said. "The number of people who are looking for work is still rising faster than the number of people being hired."

So far, North Carolina has borrowed almost $2 billion from the Federal Unemployment Account to pay benefits to the unprecedented number of people filing for unemployment.

The long-term effects of this recession will be far reaching on that kind of state level but also on the household level, Vitner said.

"Half a million people are unemployed today (in North Carolina), but it's not the same people who are unemployed month after month," he said. "The average duration (that people draw unemployment benefits) is 29 weeks.

"That means 850,000 people were unemployed at some time during the year. ... That's going to weigh on the economy as we recover."

Andrew Shain of The (Columbia) State and The Associated Press contributed

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