Deal Saver - brought to you by the Charlotte Observer

0 comments
  • Print
  • Order Reprints
  • Share Share

Restored payroll tax hits small wallets

End of a 2 percentage point break in Social Security taxes is already showing up as consumer confidence erodes

By Nelson D. Schwartz
New York Times
PAYROLL TAX BITE
TODD HEISLER - NYT
Eddie Phillips, who works for a nonprofit housing group, in New York, Feb. 6, 2013. Like millions of other Americans, Phillips is feeling the bite from the sharp increase in payroll taxes that took effect at the beginning of January. (Todd Heisler/The New York Times)

Jack Andrews and his wife no longer enjoy what they call date night, their once-a-month outing to the movies and a steak dinner in Augusta, Ga. And in Harlem, Eddie Phillips’ life insurance payment will have to wait a few more weeks.

Like millions of other Americans, they are feeling the bite from the sharp increase in payroll taxes that took effect at the beginning of January. There are growing signs that the broader economy is suffering, too.

Two surveys released last week suggested that consumer confidence was eroding, especially among lower-income Americans.

While these data points are preliminary at street level, the pain from the expiration of a 2 percentage point break in Social Security taxes in 2011 and 2012 is plain to see.

“You got to stretch what you got,” said Phillips, 51, who earned $22,000 last year. “That little $20 or $30 affects you, especially if you’re just making enough money to stay above water.” “I’m playing catch-up each month,” he said.

Jack Andrews has it slightly better. He earns a bit more than $40,000 a year, but because his wife, Cindy, is disabled, he is the sole breadwinner. Something had to give now that he is earning about $800 less a year, or $66 a month, and it was the couple’s monthly night out.

The tax break, which was pushed by the White House to stimulate spending in 2011 and extended in 2012, was always supposed to be temporary. But with pressure building in Washington to reduce the deficit and politicians fighting bitterly over whether to raise taxes on the very rich, the question of how the increase in Social Security taxes would affect the poorest workers did not garner much debate on either side of the aisle.

The higher rate applies to all earned income up to $113,700. For a household earning $100,000 a year, the increase means an additional $2,000 a year in payroll deductions. Economists estimate the payroll tax increase will reduce disposable income by about $120 billion and shave half a percentage point from economic growth in the first quarter – a significant blow given that the economy is expected to expand only 1 to 2 percent in the first half of 2013.

“If you wanted to design a policy to squeeze the spending of lower- and middle-income households, raising the payroll tax is the way to do it,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomic Advisors.

Of course, taxes are going up on wealthier Americans, too, with a rise in marginal rates on income above $400,000 for individuals and higher taxes on capital gains and dividends. But millions of individual decisions by poorer Americans in Medford, Augusta, Harlem and elsewhere are quickly adding up.

The pain was evident in a Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment released last Friday, according to Richard Curtin, who directs surveys of consumers at the university.

When asked how their financial situation had changed in January, 32 percent of people with incomes below $75,000 said their pay had dropped, compared with 13 percent who said it had increased. By contrast, 38 percent of people earning more than $75,000 said their wages had gone up last month, and 23 percent said they had gone down.

Seeing ‘divergent trends’

“We rarely see such divergent trends,” Curtin said. “Mostly it was the payroll tax hurting the lower incomes, while higher-income folks had a boost from things like dividends.”

In fact, as companies paid out dividends to shareholders early to avoid the higher tax rate for 2013, personal dividend income increased at a seasonally adjusted monthly rate of 34.3 percent in December, compared with a 4.5 percent rise in November.

But that did little to help Jessica Price, who holds down two jobs in Orlando, Fla. Most weekends she works at a clothing store in a shopping center near the Universal Studios theme park, within sight of the roller coasters, and she spends weekdays collecting tolls on a local expressway.

Price, 20, whose annual income is $15,000 to $16,000, prefers shopping at Whole Foods, the upscale supermarket chain, which is healthier but more expensive.

Trading Whole Foods for Walmart

But since the payroll tax went up, she has been going more often to Publix and Walmart.

“The food that has a lot of fat and food coloring is cheaper,” she said. “It’s a lot more expensive to eat healthier.

“But now I’m actually looking at the price tag on things rather than grabbing them.”


Hide Comments

This affects comments on all stories.

Cancel OK

The Charlotte Observer welcomes your comments on news of the day. The more voices engaged in conversation, the better for us all, but do keep it civil. Please refrain from profanity, obscenity, spam, name-calling or attacking others for their views.   Read more

Quick Job Search
Salary Databases