Every June, number-crunching experts at the National Hurricane Center present their predictions for the Atlantic hurricane season. And every June, nervous readers start asking us whether they should travel to the Caribbean or Florida this year.
The answer? Same as in past years: We can't really say.
About 11 named storms, six of which could become hurricanes, two of which could be biggies, are predicted for the season, which runs through November. It might be more, might be less. That's pretty much par for the course for the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coast, says the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
So how to determine whether and where to go? Keep in mind that:
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The Bahamas historically have had the most hurricanes in the Caribbean, according to the Caribbean Hurricane Network (www.stormcarib.com).
Hurricanes generally – but not always – have skipped Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao and Trinidad and Tobago.
Most storms strike between mid-August and late October, according to the National Hurricane Center.
For the latest information on storms: www.noaa.gov.